general

Ask a Tigrayan mother what self-governance means, and she will not talk about interim administrations. She will talk about the son who did not come home from the 2020 to 2022 war, or the road to the clinic that no longer exists. An estimated 600,000 people died in that conflict. Hundreds of thousands of lives, and an entire region's future, were pulled into a war that no ordinary citizen chose.
On Friday, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed announced an interim administration for Tigray, to run the region for six months while it prepares for elections. The statement promised "the right to self-governance." Read that again. The right to govern yourself, delivered by a government in Addis Ababa, through appointees chosen in Addis Ababa, for a region that did not take part in the June federal elections that the ruling Prosperity Party won so decisively. Whatever else this is, it is not self-governance. We should stop pretending otherwise.
Let us be clear about the facts, because facts are what the powerful always try to bury first. The Tigray People's Liberation Front launched a major offensive on September 23, 2026. It was pushed back, and it lost control of its strongholds, including the regional capital. That is a grave act. Launching a war that puts civilians between armies is a crime against the people the TPLF claims to represent, and any leadership that does it must answer for it. The TPLF has since formed an uneasy alliance with several armed groups opposed to the federal government, and it has moved closer to Eritrea, the same Eritrea that fought alongside federal troops in the last war and whose soldiers are documented in joint investigations by Ethiopia's Human Rights Commission and the UN human rights office as having committed serious abuses against Tigrayan civilians. Every party in this conflict has blood on its hands. Anyone who tells you otherwise is selling you a story.
But notice what the federal government's statement actually does. It says the TPLF "did not desire peace." It frames the entire crisis as the work of one villain, and then it hands the region to a caretaker administration with no democratic mandate from the people it will govern. This is the oldest trick in the African playbook. A ruler blames a rival, invokes stability, and promises elections after a period of direct control. We have watched this script from Harare to Lomé to Kampala. We know how the sixth month tends to end.
The Pretoria Agreement of 2022 was supposed to end this cycle. It promised disarmament, the restoration of services, the return of displaced people, and accountability for atrocities. Where is the accountability for the massacres documented during the last war? Where are the displaced families, many still living in camps, who were supposed to go home? Where is the independent investigation that would tell Ethiopians the truth about who did what? Abiy's government has never answered these questions honestly, and the TPLF's leaders have never answered them either. Both sides have treated justice as a bargaining chip. Ordinary Tigrayans, Amharas, Afars, and Oromos have paid the price.
This is the context Ethiopia's partners must not ignore. Ethiopia is the diplomatic heart of the African Union, which hosts its headquarters in Addis Ababa. That gives Abiy enormous leverage, and enormous responsibility. Regional powers, the Gulf states, China, Turkey, and Western governments all court Addis for its size, its airline, its strategic position on the Red Sea, and its growing economy. Every one of them talks about stability. Few of them are willing to say plainly that an election run by a government's own appointees, in a region under military pressure, is not an election at all. When a partner signs a deal that treats a sovereign people as a security problem, it is not being neutral. It is choosing the convenient side of a war it could help end.
So here is what must happen, and it is not complicated. First, the African Union's Panel of the Wise and the Pretoria monitoring mechanism must be given the mandate and the resources to verify, publicly, every step of disarmament and every commitment on displaced persons. Quiet diplomacy has failed. Second, Eritrean forces must be withdrawn from Ethiopian territory and held accountable for abuses, and any party that arms or harbors armed groups must face consequences from the continent. Third, an independent, professionally staffed electoral board must be empowered before any vote, with a credible voter register that includes Tigrayans living in displacement camps. An election with no voters who can safely reach the polls is theater.
Ethiopia does not have to look far for models that work. Botswana gave the world a masterclass in peaceful transition when voters ended nearly six decades of single-party rule in 2024, and the outgoing government accepted the result without drama. Mauritius alternated power through the ballot box in the same year. Ghana has handed power peacefully between rival parties across multiple cycles. Their common ingredients are not perfect. They are independent courts, professional election commissions, a free press, property rights that protect ordinary citizens from state predation, and institutions that outlast any single leader's ambitions. Ethiopia has the bones of such a system. It has a constitution that, on paper, guarantees federalism, regional autonomy, and the right of peoples to self-determination. The question is whether Abiy will honor it or quietly suspend it when it becomes inconvenient.
Civil society has a role here, and it is not a small one. Ethiopian journalists, lawyers, religious leaders, business associations, and women's groups must document every abuse and insist on every promise. Diaspora Ethiopians, who send billions in remittances home every year, can demand that their money fund schools and clinics in Tigray rather than security budgets. And the private sector, which depends on stable markets and predictable contracts, should understand that a war economy is the most expensive investment a country can make.
To the people of Tigray, we say this: your suffering is real, and so is your right to decide your own future through a free and fair vote, not through an appointee. To the people of the rest of Ethiopia, we say that a government that jails its critics and governs its regions by decree will not stay strong for long. Democracy is not a favor a leader grants when it is convenient. It is the price of a country that can hold together.
To Abiy Ahmed, the message is simple. You have a choice between becoming the leader who ended the cycle of war or the leader whose interim administration became permanent. Publish the investigations. Withdraw the foreign troops. Open the roads to Mekelle. Let the displaced go home. Then let the voters of Tigray choose their own government, and respect the result.
To the African Union, and to every partner that claims to care about the continent, the time for vague statements is over. Six hundred thousand dead should be enough to end the excuses.
And to every reader who has scrolled past this story: ask your own government what it said about Tigray this week. Ask your representative, your editor, your local newspaper. Silence is not neutrality when people are being governed without consent. We are Africans. This is our continent, and Tigray's future is part of our future. Demand that it be decided by Tigrayans, not by the men who started the war or the men who promise to end it from a distance.
Based on reporting by FRANCE24